China Urea Market Assessment 2025 by Pricing, Production, Consumption and Trade Analysis
China Urea Price Trend Analysis
Prices surged from USD 740 in Q1-2024 to USD 3540 in Q2-2024, likely driven by a spike in coal prices, a primary feedstock, and strict environmental regulations reducing output in key provinces like Inner Mongolia.
China Yearly Price Trend, 2021-2024, USD/Ton
Prices saw a slight increase in the third week owing to higher production costs from coal price upticks, driven by domestic energy demand. Moreover, the Heatwave or typhoon remnants disrupted logistics in southern China, reducing effective supply.
China Quarterly (Quarter I 2024-Quarter II 2025), USD/Ton & Weekly (W1 to W4 of August 2025), USD/Kg, Price Trend
China Urea Consumption Assessment
- The Chinese government continues to support the urea market through fertilizer subsidies under the National Rural Revitalization Strategy (2021-2035), ensuring affordable access for farmers.
- Recently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs (MARA) increased direct subsidies for nitrogen fertilizers by 7% year-on-year to stabilize food production costs amid rising global urea prices.
China Urea Production Trend
- China produces around 56 million tons of urea annually, making it the largest producer worldwide.
- Despite high production and stockpiles, China has been restricting urea exports in 2025, treating urea as a strategic, energy-like commodity. Typically, China exports 5 to 5.5 million tons annually, but 2025 exports are significantly lower, tightening global supply and keeping prices elevated.
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