Quantum Computing Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Type (Software, Hardware), By Application (Machine Learning, Optimization, Biomedical Simulations, Financial Services, Electronic Material Discovery, Others (Traffic Optimization, Weather Forecasting, and Others)), By Deployment (On-premise, Cloud), By Verticals (Defense, Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals, Chemicals, Banking and Finance, Energy and Power, Others) and By Region(North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, LATAM) Forecasts, 2024-2032

Market Overview

The global quantum computing market size was valued at USD 0.9 billion in 2023. It is estimated to reach USD 9 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 29.5% during the forecast period (2024–2032). 

In quantum computing, operations use qubit, a quantum state of an object. A qubit is an undefined state of an object before it has been detected, such as the spin of an electron or the polarization of a photon. Classical computers carry out logical operations using binary, which are operations are based on one of two positions. A single state represented by 1 or 0 is called a bit. On the other hand, a quantum computer requires holding an object in a superposition state long enough to carry out various processes on it.

Growth in quantum computers could spur the development of new breakthroughs in science, medications to save lives, machine learning methods to diagnose illnesses, materials to make more efficient devices and structures, financial strategies, and algorithms to quickly direct resources such as ambulances. In light of the benefits of technology, the global quantum computing market is anticipated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

Advancements in Quantum Computing to Offer a Reliable Cloud-Based Execution Platform

Current advancements in quantum computing offer growth potential for imaginative concepts to concrete computing options for several enterprises through public and private initiatives. With advancing research in quantum computing, leading companies plan to make quantum hardware and software available for purchase. On the other hand, some organizations are working to provide a cloud-based computing platform and software applications to end-users.

Software plays a key role in providing the finest results for addressing various aspects, including applications and programming, execution and run-time, and architecture design of quantum computing. As per the Quantum Computing Institute of Oak Ridge National Laboratory, the software was one of the leading obstacles in previous execution models as it was a simple approach for run-time compilation with fast and reliable operations. Furthermore, various start-up companies and research institutions such as 1QBit, QxBranch, and QCWare are bridging the gap between experimental researches and large enterprises.

High-Speed Quantum Computers Will Replace Classical Supercomputers to Solve Complex Problems

With the rapid development of quantum hardware technologies, it can be expected that quantum computers will operate in qubits number for solving problems that are beyond the scope of classical supercomputers. As per IBM Research, there are three basic types of quantum computers: Quantum Annealer, Analog Quantum, and Universal Quantum. However, their manufacturing is extremely challenging due to hardware-specific properties and requirements. For instance, D-Wave Systems Inc., one of the manufacturers of commercial adiabatic quantum computers, has estimated that its next-generation quantum computer would have a speed of 2000 qubits. Apart from D-Wave, other leading players such as Google, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, and Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) are dealing with hardware devices for quantum computing.

Quantum Technologies to Uncover Possibilities in the Healthcare Sector as the Number of Complex Procedures Continue to Grow

Role of Governments in Directing Research

Quantum technologies are likely to work with several existing technologies, intermixed with policies of national governments, and international agreements to enhance or weaken peace, stability, and economic developments. Moreover, in some cases, regulations may become essential for addressing risks where governments will play a crucial role in leading research in the right direction. For instance, Networked Quantum Information Technologies (NQIT), one of the four-quantum computing research hubs, is funded by the U.K. government for National Quantum Technologies Programme, which is worth around USD 324 million.

Regional Analysis

North America Leads the Global Market, Backed by Massive Public Investments in Quantum Infrastructure Development

With large-scale public and private R&D investments, North America dominates the global quantum computing market. Governments in the region are significantly investing in building the infrastructure and resources needed for quantum dominance. Thus, governments are fostering the development and growth of quantum technologies by supporting basic and applied research in government and non-government laboratories and universities.

NQI Act

In December 2018, the U.S. Congress passed a bill to accelerate quantum computing, and President Trump signed the National Quantum Initiative Act (NQI Act), which directs the Department of Energy (DOE), National Science Foundation (NSF), and National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) to support R&D and education in Quantum Information Science (QIS). The act also offers more specific directions for each NQI agency, including setting program goals and facilitating partnerships among federal laboratories, universities, companies, and other entities.

Europe — A Key Contributor to Growth of the Quantum Computing Market

Europe is a key contributor to research on quantum computing technology and ranks in publications, patents, and companies engaged in developing quantum technologies. The European Union and the U.K. have developed national strategies or programs aimed at accelerating research on quantum computing technologies. For instance, the Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) estimates that the European Union spent USD 361 million per year on quantum science and technology research during 2013–2015.

China — An Emerging Player in the Global Quantum Computing Market

Chinese quantum computing technology has been experiencing significant improvements and innovations and racing to hold the second-largest share in the quantum computing field, which has historically been dominated by American researchers. Additionally, quantum information science research is one of the four mega projects of China’s 15-Year (2006–2020) Science and Technology Development Plan. The Chinese government is channelizing notable efforts for developing quantum communications and quantum computing. Recently, it spent USD 10 billion for building the National Laboratory for Quantum Information Sciences in Hefei, which is slated to open by 2020.

Segmental Analysis

Based on type, the quantum computing market is segmented into software and hardware.

In the quantum computing market, hardware dominates the segment. Quantum hardware, including qubits and quantum processors, is critical for developing and advancing quantum computers. The establishment of quantum hardware is driven by major investments and breakthroughs in quantum chip fabrication, cooling systems, and error correction techniques. Hardware's dominance is evident as it forms the foundation for practical quantum computing applications and progress, enabling innovations and attracting significant research and development efforts from both private and public sectors.

Based on application, the quantum computing market is segmented into Machine Learning, Optimization, Biomedical Simulations, Financial Services, Electronic Material Discovery, and Others (Traffic Optimization, Weather Forecasting, and Others)

In the quantum computing market, optimization applications dominate the segment. Quantum computing's ability to solve complex optimization problems efficiently makes it highly valuable for industries such as logistics, manufacturing, and finance. This dominance is established through its capacity to handle large-scale combinatorial challenges and enhance decision-making processes. Significant investments and breakthroughs in quantum algorithms for optimization are driving adoption, as companies seek to leverage quantum computing for improving operational efficiency and competitive advantage in various sectors.

Based on deployment, the quantum computing market is segmented into on-premise and cloud.

In the quantum computing market, cloud deployment dominates the segment. Cloud-based quantum computing offers scalable access to quantum resources without the need for extensive on-premise infrastructure. This model allows organizations to leverage quantum computing power on-demand, facilitating experimentation and development while reducing costs. The establishment of cloud quantum platforms by major tech companies, such as IBM and Google, has driven widespread adoption, enabling global access to advanced quantum capabilities and accelerating research and commercial applications.

Based on verticals, the quantum computing market is segmented into defence, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, chemicals, banking and finance, energy and power, and others.

In the quantum computing market, banking and finance dominate the segment. Quantum computing offers significant potential for optimizing complex financial models, enhancing risk analysis, and accelerating algorithmic trading. The sector's need for advanced computational power to solve intricate problems and manage vast datasets drives this dominance. Established through strategic investments and collaborations between financial institutions and tech companies, quantum computing is seen as a transformative tool in finance, providing a competitive edge and addressing complex challenges in real-time.

Impact of covid-19

People's lives and companies were affected by the COVID-19 outbreak worldwide. During the COVID-19 outbreak, delivery service companies confront several obstacles. Due to the tight restrictions, more people are purchasing online. In response, e-commerce and online retail & grocery enterprises faced a big issue in delivering groceries on time. By assigning delivery executives optimal routes, route optimization software helped to reduce vehicle idling time and enhance delivery executive productivity, therefore promoting the route optimization software business during the pandemic crisis.

Recent Developments

• In 2018, the Canadian government awarded USD 15 million from the annual budget to the Institute for Quantum Computing (IQC) for the study and understanding of quantum revolution opportunities
• In July 2018, Canada and Germany’s research and private sector organizations signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to jointly establish corresponding Canadian and German quantum computing and machine learning networks for collaborating on applied quantum computing and machine learning initiatives of mutual interest
• In 2018, the Japanese banks MUFG Bank, Ltd. and Mizuho Bank, Ltd. joined a new IBM Q Hub at Keio University for access to the Q's commercial 20 Qubit System via the cloud for research and development on future applications for quantum computing in the financial sector
• In 2017, QxBranch launched a quantum computing simulator for the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). The simulator allows business leaders, developers, and quantitative analysts to explore and validate uses of quantum computing hardware
• In October 2018, Cambridge Quantum Computing (CQC) announced a collaboration with JSR Corporation for the extensive experiment of implementing state-of-the-art quantum algorithms for calculating excited states of molecules that can consider multi-reference characteristics. However, CQC and JSR are the part of IBM Q that are constantly working on implementing CQC’s quantum chemistry application with IBM’s 20 qubit quantum processor
• In January 2019, ExxonMobil signed a partnership agreement with IBM for advancement in the potential use of quantum computing in developing next-generation energy and manufacturing technologies. Development in quantum computing could provide an ability to address computationally challenging problems across a variety of applications such as the potential to optimize a regional power grid and perform more predictive environmental modeling